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Chicago, Spokane duel on NFL Network Friday
2010-07-23

This week’s Friday night NFL Network broadcast of the Arena Football League features Chicago visiting Spokane in a battle of division leaders in the National Conference. Both teams have clinched playoff spots, with the Shock having wrapped up the West Division as well. Spokane has clinched the top seed in the conference playoffs already, and has little to play for. Thanks to Rush QB Russ Michna being placed on IR Wednesday, bettors have seen the line climb from the Shock as 7-point favorites at opener to 10-points now, according to Sportsbook.com.

Chicago wraps up its season here and needs a win to maintain any chance at winning the Midwest Division over Milwaukee. The Iron have games remaining at Iowa and Cleveland, and with the way they have struggled on the road this season, Chicago has to like its chances. Still, taking care of business here first is job #1.

This will be the largest underdog pointspread that Chicago has faced all season long, and it is warranted only by the Shock’s success, not by the situation of what’s at stake for each team. Spokane has won 10 games in a row, including four at home, but is a modest 6-4 ATS during the stretch. Making matters even stranger in terms of the line, Spokane hasn’t been favored by this much over any team in two months when they were laying 13.5-points to lowly Utah.

Spokane does solid work on both sides of the football, scoring 62.6 PPG and allowing 52.1 PPG. Each of those figures represents the #2 ranking in the Arena Football League currently, behind Milwaukee and Tampa Bay, respectively. Chicago does its best work on offense through the air, as Michna was averaging 8.8 yards per pass attempt, third in the league.

J.J. Ratternik will step in for Michna and is looking to make his Rush debut. He spent the 2009 season with the Quad City Steamwheelers playing in 10 games and finishing the season with 54 touchdowns and a 105.64 rating, so it isn’t like he is inexperienced with the AFL rules.

There is only one StatFox Power Trend worthy of significance heading into Friday night’s contest and it concerns Chicago’s troubles against good offensive teams:

CHICAGO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 55 or more points/game since 1996. The average score was CHICAGO 47.1, OPPONENT 57.1 - (Rating = 0*)

The problem with that angle, at this point, there’s no definitive word on how much Spokane’s coaching staff plans to utilize the services of quarterback Kyle Rowley or any of the other starters.

The StatFox Power Line shows Spokane should be favored by 14 points, but the Outplay Factor Rating indicates only 7.5 points prior to home field advantage. Considering that Chicago is a prominent 5-2 SU & 4-2-1 ATS on the road (same SU mark as Spokane at home), it would be a stretch to figure that edge is 3-points or more.

Don’t be surprised to see a more motivated Chicago team come up big in front of a national TV audience at 8:00 PM ET.




NEW RTG SLOT
2010-07-20

Football fun with new 25 pay-line video slot
The latest video slot from the Real Time Gaming studios, Fruit Bowl XXV, will be a hit with US football fans, capturing the ‘It’s Game Time!’ theme with graphics featuring full spectator stands, roaring crowds and hotdogs for sale!
The Mighty Grapes are going to take the title in a game that features an amusing mini-game triggered by spinning 3 or more scattered 'Fruit Bowl XXV' logos. Players duck, dodge and dive around some fierce pineapple opponents, cheered on by blueberry girls in trying to score a touchdown and win up to 25 free games with a x5 multiplier.
Even the smallest feature wins can be transformed into a worthy prize using the Win-Win feature, and the random major and minor jackpots increase in value with every bet until won.
Fruit Bowl XXV at offers multiple jackpots, 25 pay-lines, a rewarding fruit bowl special feature and multipliers up to 10x the triggering bet.



ARIZONA CARDINALS 2010 SEASON PREVIEW
2010-07-06

The Cardinals have won back-to-back NFC West Division titles, but a lot changed to their roster since January, most notably at quarterback where Kurt Warner has since retired. That bit of news plus some other key departures has Arizona hopes at a three-peat in danger. Our 32 NFL teams in 32 days season preview series begins with a look at the 2010 Arizona Cardinals, including key stats & strength ratings, plus the outlook for the 2010 season and a prediction against the Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins prop.
2009 Record:11-7 (+0 ML Units), 9-8 ATS
DIVISION:NFC West
COACH:Ken Whisenhunt, 4th year (31-13 SU, 31-22 ATS)
STADIUM:University of Phoenix Stadium
Odds to win Super Bowl XLV:60 to 1, NFC Title:28 to 1
StatFox Power Rating:17 (#21 of 32)
StatFox Outplay Factor Rating:+0.4 (#17 of 32)
SITUATIONAL RECORDS
Scenario: 2009 ~ 3-YR TOTAL
Straight Up: 11-7 ~ 31-23 (57%)
ATS: 9-8 ~ 31-22 (58%)
Preseason ATS: 0-4 ~ 3-9 (25%)
Home ATS: 5-4 ~ 17-10 (63%)
Road ATS: 4-4 ~ 14-12 (54%)
Division ATS: 3-3 ~ 11-7 (61%)
Conference ATS: 7-7 ~ 22-19 (54%)
Favorite ATS: 3-7 ~ 14-13 (52%)
Underdog ATS: 6-1 ~ 17-9 (65%)
Over-Under: 7-11 ~ 32-22 (59%)
2009 Key Team Stats & NFL Ranks
Scoring Differential: +3.3 (#12 of 32)
Yardage Differential: +0.0 (#17 of 32)
Yards Per Play Differential: +0.33 (#13 of 32)
Yards Per Point Differential: +2.14 (#10 of 32)
Turnover Differential: -7 (#24 of 32)
Total Offense (Yards Per Game): 355.4 (#12 of 32)
Total Defense (Yards Per Game): 355.4 (#23 of 32)
2010 SCHEDULE: Strength - 18.69 (27th toughest of 32)
DATE - OPPONENT, TIME
9/12/10 - at St Louis, 4:15 PM
9/19/10 - at Atlanta, 1:00 PM
9/26/10 - OAKLAND, 4:15 PM
10/3/10 - at San Diego, 4:15 PM
10/10/10 - NEW ORLEANS, 4:05 PM
10/24/10 - at Seattle, 4:05 PM
10/31/10 - TAMPA BAY, 4:15 PM
11/7/10 - at Minnesota, 1:00 PM
11/14/10 - SEATTLE, 4:15 PM
11/21/10 - at Kansas City, 1:00 PM
11/29/10 - SAN FRANCISCO, 8:30 PM
12/5/10 - ST LOUIS, 4:15 PM
12/12/10 - DENVER, 4:15 PM
12/19/10 - at Carolina, 1:00 PM
12/25/10 - DALLAS, 7:30 PM
1/2/11 - at San Francisco, 4:15 PM
Sample StatFox Power Trend for 2010
  • ARIZONA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more PYA since '07. The Average Score was ARIZONA 26.7, OPPONENT 23.8
    2010 OUTLOOK
    The last time the Cardinals won back-to-back division titles prior to 2008 and ’09, the team was located in St. Louis. However, just when it seemed like the franchise was set to become a consistent playoff contender, the retirement of QB Kurt Warner, trade of WR Anquan Boldin and the loss of LB Karlos Dansby to free agency has taken away a strong core of talent, putting another postseason berth for head coach Ken Whisenhunt’s team in jeopardy…Although Arizona’s offensive numbers were down a bit from its Super Bowl season, the Cardinals still managed to place 14th in the NFL in total offense (344.4 YPG). Now that Warner is gone, replacing his 8,336 yards passing and 56 touchdowns the past two seasons is a huge question lingering over the offense. Matt Leinart, whose career has been slowed by injury and inconsistency, and newly acquired Derek Anderson (Browns), are next in line. Of course, any receiving corps that has the services of Larry Fitzgerald will present problems for opposing secondaries, and Beanie Wells should continue to improve after leading the team with 793 yards rushing (7 TD’s) as a rookie. The offensive line has a new face in free-agent guard Alan Faneca (Jets)…After finishing 20th in the NFL in total defense (346.4 YPG) and 14th in scoring defense (20.3 PPG), the stop unit more or less fell apart in the postseason, allowing 90 points in two games. Gone from the unit are LB Karlos Dansby, FS Antrel Rolle, and DE Bertrand Berry…With Warner, Fitzgerald and Boldin, the Cardinals had one of the NFL’s most potent passing attacks. Now that Warner and Boldin are out of the picture, the running game may play more a prominent role. The defense, minus key contributors, will have to step up for the Cardinals to contend for a third straight NFC West title.
    Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over/Under 7.5
    StatFox Steve's Take: Matt Leinart is 7-10 as a starter for Arizona throughout his career, and with a more regular gig, he's capable of leading this team to a better mark than that down the road. However, the loss of Boldin and a few key defensive players makes that a tough task for 2010. If you consider that this team was average last season (dead even with opponents in yards per game), they look a lot less than average now. UNDER 7.5.


    An early look at the NFL Week 1 odds & trends
    2010-06-29

    Having just completed this year’s StatFox Edge Annual, football is fresh on my mind. In addition to that, the NFL lines for Week 1 have been out for a few weeks now and it’s never too early to start looking at getting a jump on the oddsmakers. Let’s take a first look at what’s on tap for the NFL opening week of the 2010 season, from both a background and betting perspective. Odds courtesy of Sportsbook.com.

    Thursday, September 9

    <b><i>MINNESOTA at NEW ORLEANS (-4, 52)</b></i>

    The season kicks off as usual on Thursday night, September 9th, with the defending Super Bowl Champions hosting the contest. This time around, it’s a rematch of the NFC Championship game between the Vikings and Saints. New Orleans won that thriller back in January in overtime, 31-28, en route to a first ever Super Bowl title. These teams were the top two teams in the NFL last year in points scored and thus the lofty total of 52 is well justified, although it is 1-1/2 points below last year’s title game total. The pointspread is identical. Of course so much of what happens in this game comes down to whether or not Brett Favre returns under center for Minnesota. Some notes to consider about this contest…the defending Super Bowl champ has opened at home the follow-up season the last six years. In those games, that host is 6-0 SU & 4-1-1 ATS, with Pittsburgh field goal win over Tennessee the only pointspread blemish. The last three games have gone UNDER the total.

    Sunday, September 12

    <b><i>CAROLINA at NY GIANTS (-7, 40)</b></i>

    Carolina visited the Giants two days after Christmas last season and humiliated them, winning 41-9 as an 8-point underdog. The Panthers were directed by Matt Moore at quarterback for that and four other contests down the stretch when they went 4-1. He is expected to be the starter in 2010 but the Carolina defense will be minus Julius Peppers. In this contest, the Panthers open as TD underdogs to a Giants team that is expected to be better, especially on defense, if for no other reason than they can’t much worse. New York yielded 40 points in five different games during their 3-8 skid down the stretch. A trend to note here, home favorites of -6 to -9.5 own an impressive 26-6 SU & 19-13 ATS (59%) in the opening week of the NFL season this decade. However, the StatFox Power Ratings indicate Carolina should be a 3-point favorite. This will be the first ever regular season game at the Giants New Meadowlands home.

    <b><i>MIAMI (-3/-115, 38) at BUFFALO</b></i>

    Miami made a big offseason acquisition to obtain wide receiver Brandon Marshall from the Broncos to improve a pass offense that gained just 5.23 yards per attempt last season, 23rd in the NFL. The Dolphins will be visiting a Buffalo team that from all intents and purposes seems to be in rebuilding mode. Miami is a 3-point road favorite and has gone 10-2 ATS on the road vs. conference foes over the last two seasons. The Bills ranked 30th in the NFL in passing yardage last season but hope that Chan Gailey, their new Head Coach, can engineer a turnaround. The trend to consider in this game is that all divisional favorites of 3-points or less boast an incredible record 15-3 SU & 14-3-1 ATS (82%) since 2000 on kickoff weekend.

    <b><i>ATLANTA (-1, 40) at PITTSBURGH</b></i>

    The first game in the suspension being served by Steelers’ QB Ben Roethlisberger brings the Falcons to Pittsburgh, and it’s quite evident that oddsmakers have put huge stock in his absence, as Atlanta is the 1-point road favorite. Both teams were 9-7 a year ago, and Pittsburgh boasts the way stronger defense, thus the pointspread still seems like a potential overreaction. Still, the following trend would suggest the Falcons are the correct side to back: Road Favorites in NFL Week 1 facing a team that was .500 or better last season are on a 13-8 ATS (62%) run. One other thing to consider, Atlanta was one of the best poinstpread-covering teams in the NFL in 2010, going 11-5 ATS, while Pittsburgh was one of the worst, 5-10-1 ATS. Expect either Dennis Dixon or Byron Leftwich to step in for Roethlisberger to start the season.

    <b><i>DETROIT at CHICAGO (-6½, 42½)</b></i>

    Considering that Detroit has only won two games over the last two seasons, and Chicago comes off a 7-9 campaign, the first in the Jay Cutler era, it’s unusual to see more optimism surrounding the Lions’ franchise. However, an offseason of encouraging young acquisitions along with the expected continued growth of Matt Stafford at quarterback has Lions fans thinking bigger in 2010. Chicago meanwhile, didn’t have a first or second round pick in April’s draft, and has put many of its eggs in two baskets, that of Cutler, and this past offseason prized acquisition, DE Julius Peppers. Realistically still, Detroit was 0-6 SU & 0-5-1 in division play a year ago and probably further away than people are giving credit for, at least out of the gate. Chicago won its final two games of 2009, both SU & ATS but will be fighting a trend that finds road underdogs of 3-1/2 points or more in divisional games of NFL’s opening week at 7-21 SU but 19-9 ATS (68%) since 2000.

    <b><i>CINCINNATI at NEW ENGLAND (-6, 44)</b></i>

    The two losers of the wildcard round playoffs games in the AFC last January meet to open the 2010 season. There is a general line of thinking that the Patriots’ home playoff loss to the Ravens is signaling the end of the decade-long dominant regime, but there are enough other believers that as long as Tom Brady is under center and Bill Belichick is at the controls, that New England will be just fine. Oddsmakers seem to be cautiously leaning towards the latter, installing the Pats as 6-point favorites to a defending playoff team. Keep in mind that the Baltimore game was New England’s only home loss of the 2009 season. Cincinnati was also ousted at home in the postseason, by the Jets, but was stellar as an underdog, 7-2 ATS. Here is a trend concerning a possible play on the total of 44…When two Winning Teams from the prior year have played in Week 1, UNDER the total has gone 17-9 (65%) since ’03.

    <b><i>CLEVELAND at TAMPA BAY (-2, 36)</b></i>

    Two of the league’s struggling franchises go head-to-head in Week 1, and the good news for one of them is that they’ll start 2010 off with a victory. If you consider the close to the 2009 season as an indicator, that team will likely be Cleveland, who won its last four games outright, and its last seven ATS. The Browns will be starting anew with Jake Delhomme at quarterback and Mike Holmgren as the new boss of football happenings. Tampa Bay played reasonably well down the stretch but not at the level of the Browns. They will be favored for the first time since the ’08 season, laying 2-points in this game. On that note, home favorites of less than a field goal have been a solid bet in Week 1, going 10-4 SU & ATS (71%) since 2001.

    <b><i>DENVER at JACKSONVILLE (-1½, 41)</b></i>

    Denver and Jacksonville combined to go just 2-8 in December last season, with each fading out of the AFC wildcard picture. One of them will at least get off to a good start for this fall. Head coach Josh McDaniels’ team is without its primary weapon of the last few years, WR Brandon Marshall. The Jaguars don’t have a plethora of offensive weapons to speak of overall. In that sense, perhaps the total is the way to go here. If you are looking at taking a side, consider Jack Del Rio’s team’s recent plight as the chalk…JACKSONVILLE is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. The average score was JACKSONVILLE 18.8, OPPONENT 22.7 - (Rating = 5*)

    <b><i>INDIANAPOLIS (-3/-115, 47) at HOUSTON</b></i>

    Houston has its sights set on a first playoff berth in franchise history. The Texans seem to be right on the cusp of reaching that goal. However, unless something drastic changes this year, it would have to be as a wildcard, as the Colts remain the primary obstacle in winning the AFC South Division. Perhaps a win in the home opener can give HC gary Kubiak’s team the confidence and momentum it needs to become a contender. The Texans can score, and they come off a season in which they led the NFL in passing yardage. The Colts though do nearly everything well and as long as Peyton Manning is at quarterback, will always have a chance of winning the division. Indianapolis has won six straight games over the Texans and was 7-1 ATS on the road in the 2009 regular season. Keep an eye on this trend…All favorites of exactly 3-points boast a 29-10 SU & 21-12-5 ATS (64%) mark in Week 1 since 2000.

    <b><i>OAKLAND at TENNESSEE (-7, 41)</b></i>

    Optimism reigns in both Oakland and Tennessee heading into the 2010 season. The Raiders, for once, had an offseason that is being widely regarded by the so-called experts. The biggest move they made was to trade for former Washington QB Jason Campbell, who always boasted decent numbers but could never get over the hump of being an elite quarterback. He has a decent running game behind him with Darren McFadden and Michael Bush. Speaking of good running games, the Titans have the best one in the NFL, with 2000+ yard rusher Chris Johnson. Assuming nothing negative comes out of his contract squabble, he’ll be back minus crutch Lendale White for 2010. Tennessee turned a 0-6 start into an 8-8 finish last season. Because they didn’t make the postseason, there is still work to be done. Oakland has covered five of the last six games between these teams and is actually 12-6 ATS on the road versus conference foes since 2006.

    <b><i>GREEN BAY at PHILADELPHIA (PK, 46)</b></i>

    Two of the perennial powers of the NFC over the last decade will get together in what should be a huge barometer for where each stands heading into 2010. On paper, Green Bay looks as good as anyone, with MVP-candidate Aaron Rodgers emerging into one of the league’s best quarterbacks. Games aren’t played on paper though, and the Packers will be looking to snap a 6-game losing skid in the City of Brotherly Love (1-5 ATS). Fortunately, the Pack has been very good on the road under Mike McCarthy, going 22-10 ATS. Philadelphia enters its first season in a long time without Donovan McNabb, Brian Westbrook, or Brian Dawkins as the team leaders. McNabb has been replaced by Kevin Kolb, who Eagles management hopes will develop similarly to the way Rodgers did when he replaced Brett Favre. He has perhaps the most dynamic set of skill position players in the league at his disposal. Oddsmakers don’t know quite what to make of Philly at this point, setting this line up as a pick em’.

    <b><i>SAN FRANCISCO (-2, 38) at SEATTLE</b></i>

    Most NFL experts believe that there will be a changing of the guard in the NFC West after two years of Arizona rule. The two most likely beneficiaries are the 49ers and Seahawks. San Francisco is the odds-on-favorite to win the division in 2010, coming off a season in which it went 8-8 but lost six games by a touchdown or less. HC Mike Singletary’s club was 9-4 ATS and among the league leaders defensively in several key categories. Their success will hinge upon the performance of #1 pick Alex Smith at quarterback, who may finally be ready to take over the club as the bonafide leader. Seattle is set at quarterback with Matt Hasselbeck, but he is aging and may not have all that much left in the tank. Off a 5-11 season, new head coach Pete Carroll has transformed the roster to his liking. How it does out of the gate is a big concern though. With San Francisco playing as a 2-point road favorite, recall the trend from earlier, divisional favorites of 3-points or less boast an incredible record 15-3 SU & 14-3-1 ATS (82%) since 2000 on kickoff weekend.

    <b><i>ARIZONA (-3½, 41) at ST. LOUIS</b></i>

    The NFC West Division is in head-to-head mode on Week 1, and the Rams have a chance to make a huge statement against an Arizona team that could be in a transitional year. The Cardinals are starting anew at quarterback after the retirement of Kurt Warner, and will be without a number of defensive contributors from their back-to-back division title teams as well. Perhaps a new start was in order anyway after HC ken Whisenhunt’s team allowed 90 points in two playoff games last January. The Rams hopefully hit rock bottom last year and will be on their way back up. With six wins in the last three years combined I don’t think things can get much worse. Getting better in division play is a must for them (8-22 ATS L5 seasons). St. Louis could be led by this April’s first overall draft pick, QB Sam Bradford. His early development will have a lot to do with how much ground this team can make up in 2010. Oddsmakers seem a bit leery of Arizona at this point, installing the Cardinals as just 3-1/2 point favorites. St. Louis will be look to get off to a better start than recent years, 1-10 ATS in the L3 September’s.

    <b><i>DALLAS (-3/-125, 43) at WASHINGTON</b></i>

    Donovan McNabb’s first season with Washington gets off to a potentially very interesting start when he and the Redskins host Dallas on NBC’s Sunday Night Football. Of course, McNabb isn’t the only new face in town, as HC Mike Shanahan arrives after taking the year off from football following a great run with Denver. The Redskins were just 4-12 last season and failed to even win a single divisional game. They will be fired up to be taking on what it believed to be a Super Bowl favorite in Dallas. The Cowboys were finally able to get over the playoff drought that had stricken the franchise for 15 years, as they beat Philly in a wildcard game last January. The so-called monkey may be off Tony Romo’s back. Not only do these teams not like one another, but the fact that McNabb moved from a team that was an equal rival to Dallas makes this contest very intriguing. The road team is on a 5-1 ATS run in this head-to-head series.

    Monday, September 13

    <b><i>BALTIMORE at NY JETS (-3/-105, 37½)</b></i>

    The first of two Monday Night Football games on ESPN is an absolute dandy, as two of the expected favorites in the AFC go head-to-head. The Jets and Ravens both made noise in the playoffs last season, and each had made some noteworthy moves to take the next step this winter. On offense, the Ravens added wide receiver Anquan Boldin. Not to be outdone, the Jets traded for WR Santonio Holmes and picked up RB Ladanian Tomlinson. Not only that, but two of the league’s best defensive units will take the field. History shows that 58% of Week 1 games have gone UNDER the total over the last decade. This one certainly has the potential. Judging by the numbers, oddsmakers place these teams on equal levels, with only the 3-points for home field advantage separating them. The Jets are playing their first game in their New Meadowlands home.

    <b><i>SAN DIEGO (-6, 45) at KANSAS CITY</b></i>

    The nightcap of the Monday Night Football doubleheader, and the game that wraps up the Week 1 slate pits San Diego versus Kansas City in an AFC West Division duel at Arrowhead Stadium. San Diego is going for its fifth straight divisional title this season and is an overwhelming favorite to do so. The Chargers have much bigger goals though, and they concern the postseason, where success has been harder to come by. Of course, it might help for Norv Turner’s team to get off to a better start than it has recently, as they were 2-3 after five games in each of the past three seasons. Kansas City hasn’t beaten San Diego since October ’07, a span of five games, and would like nothing more than to make a huge statement in front of a national audience. The Chiefs are expected to be improved after a 3-year run of winning just 10 games combined. Charlie Weis has joined HC Todd Haley’s staff to run the offense while Romeo Crennel takes the reigns of the defense. While it may be tough to stomach taking K.C. here as the 6-point dog, note that when the difference in the teams’ PPG Margin from the prior year is 10.0 or greater, the team with the worse differential owns an 19-12 ATS (61%) record in Week 1 since 2001.

    Good luck in your season preparation. Hopefully the 2010 StatFox Edge Football Annual is part of that process!


    Jay Cutler and Matt Forte cannot do it all alone for the Bears, they do need help
    2010-06-18

    First of all, Jay Cutler needs to improve his horrible touchdown to interception ratio (27 to 26) that he posted in 2009. That interception total is by far the most he has thrown in his four year NFL career. Not only does he need to develop more consistency in 2010 with ratio, but his receivers need to do so as well. Chicago does not have a true No.1 or star receiver. Who the heck in the NFL [at least at the moment] is afraid of Earl Bennett, Devin Aromashodu, Rashied Davis, Juaquin Iglesias, and Johnny Know? No one that's who. Even each of those five receivers have talent and athleticism of their own, neither one of them have established themselves in the NFL as of yet and part of the reason for that is their youth. Neither one of them have been with the Bears for more than four full seasons.



    So that in essence is what Cutler has to deal with. Matt Forte, their star two-dimensional running back, is the best overall player on their offense these days but he CANNOT do it all alone. His body can only take so much. But Cutler despite all the youth and lack of big time ability at receiver, has to be held accountable too. Those receivers are in the NFL for a reason, which means that they belong in this league somehow, and smart NFL betting knows that the Bears have had some real trouble at the Receiver position.



    Cutler has the arm strength, the accuracy (when he wants to), the brains (he went to Vanderbilt for God sakes!), and the talent to succeed in this league. But this writer doubts he will ever get as far as he is capable of with the receivers they have. Tight end Greg Olsen is a stud, but he like Forte is only one man (although a very talented man). Olsen is not only a safety valve for Cutler, but he is a heck of an athlete and he can be a vital weapon when the receivers are jammed up in coverage. But don't think defenses haven't seen how much of a vital cog Olsen is to this offense. Because if he gets hurt or goes down, Chicago is in trouble.



    The good thing about Cutler though, is that he doesn't have to worry about looking over his shoulder for competition at his position. Caleb Hanie, Brett Basanez, and rookie Dan LeFevour are future players who aren't ready to start for anyone in this league let alone the Bears right now.



    Cutler has been tantalizing Bears fans with his talent but one year is an unfair time to assess him. If he stinks up the joint with another INT to TD ratio like in 2009, there may be calls for his head. Barring injury and huge inconsistency, Cutler should be much better in 2010. The Bears have the defense and just enough talent to make some noise in the NFC North. Adding former Minnesota and Baltimore standout Chester Taylor at running back will help the Bears and Forte in 2010. Like Forte, Taylor has been stupendously successful as a runner and pass catcher out of the backfield. The onus for the Bears to be successful offensively in 2010 doesn't all fall on Cutler's shoulder's, those receivers have to step up too. Bennett though 4th on the team in catches and 3rd in receiving yards, but its time for him to start making the transition to between 900 to 1,000 yards receiving. He and Cutler played two years together at Vanderbilt, so there has to be some synchronicity with those two.



    But if Cutler goes down to injury so goes the Bears season. He, Forte, and the development of the Bears receivers are some of the most vital elements of whatever the Bears will do in 2010, and NFL betting are keeping a keen eye on them. They have the defense, the starting offensive line is good (although 40 percent of it is aging), and head coach Lovie Smith believes in Cutler. New offensive coordinator Mike Martz demands perfection and Cutler will have to adjust or there could be some problems between those two. Martz loves to throw the ball and tire out defenses with multiple passing routes, and Cutler excels at throwing intermediate, short, and deep passes. Cutler has the talent to succeed in Martz's offense, and his systems for years have made some already gifted or talented receivers and quarterbacks look even better than they should. Then there's the fiasco in San Francisco with Martz and Alex Smith. And Smith is a calm guy and Cutler is not exactly the quietest guy in the room.



    Martz and Cutler's relationship could either blow up in the Bears faces or their relationship could place Cutler in the Pro Bowl for years to come. Its pressure being an NFL quarterback, and this story shows that. Cutler has a lot to overcome if he hopes to take the Bears to the next level.


    Where do you do your NFL betting? Head over to www.sportsbook.com where everybody bets.





    The Raiders barring injuries and consistency, have no excuse but to turn it around in 2010
    2010-06-18

    Injuries are apart of the game and not every player can be on point all the time. But enough is enough, the Raiders HAVE to turn it around in 2010 or some heads will roll in their organization.



    Head Coach Tom Cable is a hard working, blue-collar, and focused coach who before the 2010 season was in way over his head. But now the Raiders have the pieces in place to make a run at least at between 8-8 and 9-7 records. Playoffs? That is going too far. Cable's job hinges on if Jason Campbell has the season he is capable of and the Raiders receivers and running backs play to and above their potential, and the NFL betting community agrees.



    The Raiders have a defense good enough to keep them in games, although the youth and lack of long term starting experience on that unit is something to be pondered about. Talent and athleticism has never been a problem for Raiders defenses in the past 2000s decade, it has been consistency, injuries, and underachievement.



    The defensive line and the secondary are the positions where its members are most proven and experienced. The projected starters for the defensive line are defensive ends Lamarr Houston (rookie-2nd round draft pick) and Richard Seymour, as well as defensive tackles Tommy Kelly and Desmond Bryant. Two of those players [Seymour and Kelly] started together in 2009 for the Raiders and right now they are by far the most proven players and the best of the lot of the starter on D-Line. Plus the Raiders have alternates/backups all over the place on this unit who can provide pass rush, depth, and relief among other things for the starters.  



    As for the linebackers there is just too much youth and unproven players there to expect too much out of them. Rookie first round pick Rolando McClain takes over for the traded Kirk Morrison at inside linebacker. McClain has a heck of a road to cover to replace Morrison, but eventually McClain will be better than Morrison. Trevor Scott is a converted defensive end who was not a full-time starter in 2009 and the recent Kamerion Wimbley in some respects was considered a bust in Cleveland. Wimbley has so much talent as a pass rusher but is up to him and coaches Mike Haluchak (linebackers) and John Marshall (defensive coordinator) to coax that talent out of him.



    The Raiders have one of the better secondaries in the AFC, but free safety Michael Huff's game has to catch up with the rest of the secondary for the unit to be at its best.  



    The wide receivers in 2010 have got to take pressure off of Pro Bowl tight end Zach Miller. Darrius Heyward-Bey, Louis Murphy, Chaz Schilens, and Johnnie Lee Higgins have to pick up where they left off from 2009 and start seriously thinking about approaching between 800 through 1,000 yard seasons (especially Murphy and Heyward-Bey). That foursome MUST step up and be held accountable for new quarterback Jason Campbell to succeed. Heyward-Bey has the dilemma of not only proving that he was worthy of being picked eight in the 2009 NFL Draft, but that the Raiders made the right choice in selecting him over the more talented and Michael Crabtree who went to the 49ers a little latter in the first round of that draft. All those in NFL betting know that the Raiders are famous for poor draft picks.



    Bottom line is if the Raiders' receivers and running backs don't stay healthy and consistent in 2010, the Raiders are in trouble no matter how good their defense plays. Darren McFadden, Michael Bush, and Justin Fargas (and maybe even on the downside of his career, and fellow running back Michael Bennett) have to stay in the lineup and use the talent they were born with. EVERY single position on the Raiders has to work in 2010 for them to do anything in 2010. If there ever was a team in the NFL in 2010 who needs consistency from every position on its team to make to at least 7-9 or 8-8, its the Oakland Raisers.


    NFL betting is not keen on the Raiders in 2010, what do you think? Place your NFL bet now at www.sportsbook.com where everybody bets.





    Can the Saints Repeat as Super Bowl Champions in 2010?
    2010-06-18

    The Saints can and they should make another run at a Super Bowl win, but it will not be easy by any means. And since when has anything been easy in the NFL? Never that's when. The Saints didn't lose too much in free agency from the 2009 season, so that shouldn't be too much of a problem, and the NFL betting agrees.


    As far as gaining a free agent, the Saints get former Chicago Bears defensive end Alex Brown. He is past his prime but he still can play and provide pass rush for the Saints in 2010. Brown, defensive back Leigh Torrence, and fellow defensive end Jimmy Wilkerson will do their part to help the Saints defense. Neither one of their free agent pickups are stars but they can help the Saints in their own ways.


    The Saints ranked 25th in total defense in 2009 and they ranked 20th or below in all the most vital defensive categories. So those aforementioned defensive free agents and the incumbent defensive players on the Saints have to either play up to their abilities or above their heads for the Saints to get back to the promise land. Their defense has nowhere to go but up, because their offense can only cover up the defense's shortcomings for so long like they did in 2009.     


    Drew Brees is a bonafied star at quarterback with his accuracy, consistency, and smarts. The reigning Super Bowl XLIV MVP has the competitiveness and the smarts to not be one of those players who rests on his laurels. Brees will give everything he has and more to get to Super Bowl XLV and win it. Plus Brees has talent up the ying-yang at receiver at his disposal.. All these stretch the defense receivers and tight ends he has to work with, has to make any quarterback get giddy.


    The Saints have a good enough defense (but they need improvement) to help the offense make it seem like they don't have to go at it alone. The most talented part of the Saints defense is the defensive line. But that is not to say that it is the best part of their defense, because the linebackers are the most productive portion of their defense. Defensive tackles Remi Ayodele and Sedrick Ellis will have been together on the interior of the defensive line for three years when the 2010 season rolls around. Their main functions are to keep offensive linemen off of inside linebackers Jonathan Vilma (starter) and alternates Anthony Waters and Marvin Mitchell, as well as provide pass rush and defend the run. The first seven players of the Saints defense (defensive line and linebackers) are the most vital part of their defense bar none. Because if they don't provide pressure and defend the run then the sort of underachieving secondary won't eat. Free Safety Darren Sharper is old as dirt and he can only do so much, although he still can play and he is very effective (refer to 2009 game film).


    This has got to be the season Reggie Bush stands up and uses the prodigious gifts that he was born. Okay so he is not a durable or every down back. So what. But an average of 4 touchdowns on the ground and 2 receiving per year since 2006, isn't going to cut it any more. The Saints have seven running backs on their current roster as of this writing, and three of them are fullbacks or are strictly around for their blocking and bulk size. So Bush has no excuse as far as worrying about some other back cutting into his carries, except for maybe bigger and physical back Pierre Thomas who gained 793 yards on the ground in 2009 which led the team. Luckily in 2009 the Saints running game was good enough to take pressure off the passing game, which all the NFL betting community are keeping a close eye on.


    The Saints are good to go on offense and defense (especially offense) to gain another Super Bowl ring, but as any former Super Bowl winner will say, "It's hard to repeat." The Saints have a target on their back for the 2010 season like they have never had before in from 1967-2008 or 42 years of service.       


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